Friday, December 14, 2012

Municipal Land Transfer Taxes - Root of the Problem

Summary

We'll never get anywhere on the budget of any GTA municipality until the Greater Golden Horseshoe (inside the Greenbelt) becomes a province



Amplification of my Deputation to Mississauga Budget Cttee Dec 3/2012 1pm


Robert Ede <robertede@gmail.com>Tue, Dec 11, 2012 at 1:23 PM

To: mayor@mississauga.ca,

Dear Madame Mayor & Councillors
cc Real Estate Board Officers & Staff


Please allow me to apologize for being ill-prepared for my presentation to your Budget Committee and for my rambling and blustery deputation before you on the concept of a Municipal Land Transfer Tax

After being alerted of the meeting by TREB, I read the City Manager's Sept 19/12 report just that morning and had not the time to organize my disparate approaches to the issue into a cohesive whole.

What I should have said:


What a blessed opportunity this meeting offers ratepayers in Mississauga, Toronto and all of the Large Urban Municipalities in Ontario.

Extension of the power to assess a Municipal Land Transfer Tax, if granted to Large Urban Municipalities, offers the Province and all participating municipalities the opportunity to correct the structure of ALL Land Transfer Taxes.

I am confident that a collective proposal by Mississauga and other Municipalities/Regions would be approved by the Province since it has no "extra" money to pass onto you.

I will start "at the end" -with my recommendation -and then back-fill with my reasons.

When you consider your resolution at the LUMCO consider wording the Bill, to specify that the MLTT may be paid by either the Buyer or the Seller, arranged by negotiation between those parties to the real estate transaction's Agreement of Purchase and Sale and detailed in the transaction's Statement of Adjustments.
 

FAIR ATTRIBUTION and FLEXIBILITY

The Toronto LTT follows the lead of the provincial LTT and assesses the tax on the Buyer, as a "surcharge" or "entry fee" to property acquisition in the jurisdiction. In my opinion this was an arbitrary continuation of an imperfect assessment method.

A "Land Transfer" requires both a Buyer AND a Seller and notwithstanding the past ~15 years when Sellers' Market conditions prevailed (and buyers were put in a position to "pay or go away", while Sellers didn't feel they had to “give” much in the course of a negotiation), most people agree that we should anticipate a Balanced or Buyer’s Market in the near future.

In those future conditions, the real property agreements that lead up to the TRANSFERS that will generate the tax revenue will require give and take by both buyer and seller.

If Large Urban Municipalities need to bolster their Infrastructure reserves, and if , as the City Manager's report indicates the proceeds of a MLTT "could" be dedicated to the $70 million annual Infrastructure deficit, then perhaps the "past users" who weren't assessed enough property tax to cover the repair/replacement of the infrastructure are just as worthy a source of these funds as are the "new users" who currently, in all existing LTT's are the only parties to the land transfer that are "allow(ed) ...to contribute to a state of good repair for Infrastructure" Pg 5 para 2.

If the funds generated are indeed dedicated to "infrastructure" then both arguments are valid and I look to the changes implemented in the Condominium Act to draw an analogy.

For the first three decades of condominium tenure in Ontario, Condo Corporation Budgets had no mandatory contribution regulations for repairs and replacements of the condo's Common Elements - they just did what was right in their own eyes and what they deemed would be acceptable to the unit-owners in terms of Maintenance Fees.

Under that regime, it was possible (and frequent) for huge expense items to be ignored or deferred and then only repaired/replaced when safety, health or emergency brought the repair to the forefront. When this happened, the Condo Corp borrowed the repair-money and a Special Assessment on each Unit was implemented to retire the debt - in either a lump payment or as a series of installments over as few years.

If a Unit is sold during the "series of installments" period, the Buyer and Seller had to agree on terms of assumption or discharge of that Special Assessment in their Agreement of Purchase and Sale and the actual payment was detailed in the Statement of Adjustments.

Similarly if a Local Improvement Charge has been levied on a particular property and the property is sold during the "series of installments" period, the Buyer and Seller work out an assumption or discharge arrangement.

Based on the widely-agreed view that "real estate market conditions ...fluctuate over time" page 4 para 4, it might be prudent to have all the LTT's be flexible enough to adjust to those fluctuating market conditions.

IMPLICATIONS UPON "TRANSACTIONS"

The "worst aspect" of all LTT's is that it takes CASH out of the Buyers' hands for down payment on closing. In most "land transfers" a mortgage is involved - real estate is most often a leveraged financial investment. In the case of a 50% mortgaged transaction, cash is leveraged by a factor of 2, in a 95% hi-ratio mortgage, by a factor of 20.

The current Double LT Tax on non-first-time buyers in 416 amounts to 1.9% of a $300K Purchase Price ($5,700) , 2.44% on $500K ($12,200), 3.03% on $800K ($24,200) and 3.35% on $1.2 Million ($40,200) - this is the CASH that cannot be leveraged, because it is an unavoidable "cost" for the buyer paid on closing. 

Currently, disposition/deployment of that CASH is rarely negotiated as "part" of the transaction because rarely does anyone think about including it in the negotiations - if the legislation specially allowed for the possibility, this would change.

If some or all of these two taxes could be (optionally) "built-into" the financing of the purchase, the money would still be current revenue for the city, but it's repayment spread over time. 

To me, if the funds are "dedicated" to restoring infrastructure reserves and/or performing deferred infrastructure repairs, the optional ability for a "new user" to pay for "what someone else used" over time, or, to collect that money FROM the Seller by way of an adjustment in the distribution of the transaction's proceeds only make sense.

If Mississauga implemented a "to be negotiated" Payer system, they could (for a time anyway) continue to present an(other) advantage to Buyers deciding between 416 & Paradise in Peel.


ULTIMATE CAUSE AND REMEDY - An Ontario Municipal "dilemma"

As was stressed at the Budget meeting, Mississauga is NOT IMPLEMENTING a MLTT, it is simply considering the options and potential "tools" available from the province and the population that might help balance the operating budgets and restore reserves to sustainable levels.

It was also stressed, that the discussion now should be on much more than a potential LTT and or who should pay it  - an MLTT is just one possible source of revenue, that might become "general" revenue or might become "dedicated to infrastructure"

I agree, the debate and study now should be focused on finding a path out of a problem that has been building for many years, here in Mississauga, in the GTA and across Canada, at every level of government:
 

"How can we boost revenue/cut spending enough (balance the budget) to enable our jurisdiction 
to be able to pay for the programs/services/reserves/debt charges we are providing each year (without getting turfed from office)"

 and then 

"Once we get our annual budget out-of-deficit, how can we get taxpayers/ratepayers to agree
to pay MORE for the programs/services/reserves we "didn't charge enough for in the past", 
given that accruing annual interest charges would wholly ruin our just-balanced budget all over again
if interest rates rose by 2-4% (which everyone predicts WILL happen in 2-7 years)"


In addition to Madame Mayor's explanation that "we built the infrastructure with development charges, but now have to repair it with property taxes" the root of the problem (in addition to the truth that in property development, like in stock/bond markets "the trees don't grow to the sky") is the double-whammy of past, Double, Down-Loading from the ConFederal and Provincial Orders of government.

The (undeservedly semi-legendary) Hon. Paul Martin Jr solved his budget problem (temporarily) by cutting transfer to the provinces (they agreed to take less because it would come with "no strings attached") and then our non-GTA Pals at the Pink Palace solved their budget problem (temporarily) by cutting transfers to municipalities and re-jigging the "who does what" formula.

In reality, EVERYTHING has been screwed up on EVERY order of government in Canada since the demographic assumptions that included a perpetual baby-boom (that fuelled the pay-as-you-go "social" programs of the sixties) were proven incorrect.

The unlimited demand by Canadians for programs "paid for by someone else" has gobbled up income tax revenue that had previously been allocated to "equalization and supplementation" between have/have-not provinces, regions and municipalities, Sadly as times changed, the ConFeds withdrew the quantity and quality of their fiscal supports, then the provinces did the same but public expectations/demands remained the same.

The ONLY solution for Canadian municipalities (particularly urban ones with a high tenant constituency) is a piece of the Provincial Income Tax.

The ONLY solution for the Golden Horseshoe-inside-the-Greenbelt municipalities is to gain control of MOST of the Provincial Income Tax.

This revenue will not be surrender easily, nor will the alternative (an additional Income Tax levied by Municipalities) sit well with voters.

UNLESS it's proved to be the only solution.

Mississauga and others in Durham, York, Peel et al in the Greater Toronto commuter/drainage watershed are examining the City of Toronto Act in hopes of being granted already-established type of "new" revenue, or "new" ways to dedicate specific costs to specific users, as well as "new" efficiencies in delivering/servicing/protecting/enhancing the lifestyle that constituents have become accustomed to enjoying.

The above-noted busted baby-boom was one factor, exacerbated in Southern Ontario by a fundamental change in Canada's a) inter-provincial share-the-wealth "Social Contract" and b) "National Policy" regarding international trade and commerce.

Southern Ontario was the manufacturing centre of Canada until all the underpinning rules changed under the Managed/Free Trade Agreement with the USA (AFTA). Previously Canadians "paid a little too much" for goods manufactured in Southern Ontario and we agreed to "pay a little too much tax" from the good-waged Branch Plant jobs that every little town and region was blessed with in order to support the rest of Ontario and Canada - our customers.

When the Branch Plants closed, the game was over .... but none of the "pay a little too much tax" rules changed. 

All orders of government struggled under the new rules, often by borrowing-in-the-meantime, but never with enough "growth to pay for growth " PLUS never quite enough growth-in-tax-revenue to pay for growth-in-expenditures WHILE SIMULTANEOUSLY maintaining viable reserves AND trying to service the growing interest costs.


It's a mess. But it's here and delaying only makes it worse ... never mind if future lowered credit ratings and/or higher borrowing rates come into play AND never mind that nobody wants to hear the bad news.

We must approach it like we've got a "cancer" that's eating us alive, or a self-destructive, behavioural compulsion that we're not even aware of having.


Smart-aleck commentators say governments are "addicted to taxes", but I say "Canadians are addicted to programs paid-for by somebody else, while governments are addicted to borrowing money to fund programs that don't pay for themselves"

If either or both are true, then the first step is "admitting that (collectively) we have no desire to control our addiction(s) to free/subsidized gov't programs paid-for by somebody else"

The problem is first-worldwide - we cannot deal with that. Although our problem is truly Canada-wide and 4-Orders deep - we can only hope to devise and implement a "new model" here & now (and soon) that other jurisdictions in Canada can examine, apply and perhaps improve.

OUR SOLUTION - open for application elsewhere

The Greater Golden Horseshoe-inside-the-Greenbelt (GGHiG perhaps) is well populated and produces more than enough ConFederal + Provincial, Personal + Corporate Income Tax (and I imagine a great sum in net Harmonized PST/GST) to pay for all of it's constituents' wildest civic/social dreams AND STILL have some leftover to share with other less-have-than-itself areas within Ontario and other provinces.

But the GGHiG never sees even it's proportionate share this revenue it generates - it's all goes to some vote-worthy project or supplementary/support system somewhere else.

What are the possible solutions to retaining more of our own Income Taxes & Sales Taxes:

Get more broke and qualify for more transfers? No.

Secede from Ontario and establish Sovereignty-Association with Canada? No.

Become a Province? - Yes.

I think we must gain recognition from Ontario, the other Provinces & the Confederal governments that the GGHiG is a special case - a mostly urban "community of communities" near Toronto that is being denied the highest and best governance model for its size, population, density, GDP -everything, by being divided into umpteen, suburban/exurban "nations" warring in the bosom of a single Ecological & Economic Watershed.

The unification of "everything" inside the Greenbelt/Oak Ridges Moraine into one "new" provincial jurisdiction (I might settle for a special Eco-Eco zone within Ontario if the existing legislative & executive powers and Confederal representation were equal and prorated-by-population, if, and only if, it was a necessary, interim, "non-consti-pational" stepping-stone).

The difference in "life" between people lining in Large-Urban vs Small-town/Rural agglomerations is today's "two solitudes".

Trying to govern these two with one set of rules is inefficient, ineffective and unsustainable - one or the other solitude will revolt when the whole theory of everything that's wrong "reality-crunch" that Mississauga is contemplating becomes the order-of-the-day with no deferral or delay possible.

To be sure, other Large Urban municipalities in other regions/provinces will follow ... and the resulting subsidiarity will much better reflect the reality than the patchwork subsidies, special deals, criss-cross financing and make-work projects of that now attempt to pretend-to-equalize our blatantly un-equal provinces 

Your "problem" is every municipality's problem ... but you have have the strength and power to initiate the solution.

"All truth passes through three stages: First, it is ridiculed. Second, it is violently opposed. Third, it is accepted as being self-evident." -Schopenhauer (1788–1860)

Yours truly,

 
rce

Bill 115, Work-to-rule, 1 Day bstrikes and Student potests


Thu, Dec 13, 2012 at 3:57 PM
To: torstar <lettertoed@thestar.ca>,
>
Dear Ed.,

1)  If the Ontario Teachers' Union Leaders are encouraging and enforcing these work-to-rule antics and rotating 1-day strikes in the defiance of Bill 115's intentions and provisions, and if,  this Union-led action, based on the Union Leaders' past tactics, was really quite predictable, why did not the Legislature pass Bill 115 using the Notwithstanding Clause and thereby avoid the predictable Union re-action (?apprehend the insurrection?) with its accompanying dislocation of both students and the public?

Conversely, if the passed law is not correct, not fair or illegal, why are the individual education "workers" defying the law (certainly disavowing any pledge to a 'higher calling' that they once-professed) instead of mounting a legal challenge while continuing to offer their services, in full, to the resident, taxpaying voters of the Province?

2) If push does come to shove in the Courts, I anticipate with relish a review of the new "workers rights" and ground-breaking interpretations regarding good faith bargaining that were read-into our country's law books with "Health Services and Support - Facilities Subsector Bargaining Assn. v. British Columbia", 2007 SCC 27, in light of the highly critical view of the precedent-overturning and affirmative-lawmaking within that decision, as outlined by Rothstein J. in "Ontario (Attorney General) v. Fraser",  2011 SCC 20.

3) Point to ponder, if the branches of a "living tree" are encouraged to grow without limit, while the tree's roots are neglected, what happens to that tree? 

4) Remember there was a time of scientific acceptance of the Ptolemaic model of the solar system with its epic-cycles, eccentric deferents and equant points- a colossally complex man-made expression of "truth" ... based on foundational assumptions that were false. If the Judges were wrong in Health Services and the workers do NOT possess the "rights" they think are being abused ... how will they pay us all back for their mistaken understanding?



rce
 

Monday, December 10, 2012

--Electoral Reform - I come not to praise 50%+1, but to bury it ...

Dear Editors,
cc Ms Hebert

Re:Electoral reform could improve health of Canada’s federal politics

In Ms Hebert discussion of an electoral non-participation pact between the non-Ref/Cons in the next General Election, she correctly asserts "Too many proponents of this are really only looking for a shortcut to beat the Conservatives without having to do the heavy lifting of seeking policy common ground with their opposition rivals."

Irrespective of the appeal (to the lesser players in the Electoral Subsidy-collection game) of an Anybody-but-Steve, Us or Him, elimination-round, it's not going to happen. 

Further, the wholly-dis-satisfactory, status quo of non-representation and dis-representation in Ottawa, resulting from the "best-of-a-bad-bunch" voting system will not be cured by a knee-jerk switch to the oft-proposed (by the same lesser players) proportional representation (PR).

The our regionally-fractured and ideologically-sympathetic voting-blocks will not change their minds about their priority issues because the voting system has changed and (since the voting system will NOT change) the vote-buying, niche-marketing players will not need to change their divide-and-rule tactics.

The essential problem in our Lower House is not rooted in the mechanics of individual election voting, but in the system of voting IN the House of Commoners and the mixed/conflicting loyalties of the MP's once elected.

If you want MP's to work together, to have more of a voice as individuals and as a voice for their constituents, then raise the level of approval of Bills in Committee and in the House from 50%+1 to 66.7% or 75% .....accomplished by a change in "convention" (at the urging of the electorate  -once they discover it's an option)  - no Consti-pational Amendment required

Given the unlikelihood of one Party obtaining 2/3 or 3/4 of the seats in an election, we could always have a "check" on the PMO/PCO cabal (irrespective of its blatant anti-constitutionality) - each individual MP's vote would be important every time and the "importance" of party-affiliation, at election time, would diminish.

Dream-come-true we might see "All-the'Talents" cabinets emerge with a Proportionate Representation of sitting MP's at the Cabinet Table.

AND ...in this "environment",  the idea of amending the Clarity Act's threshold would be "unsustainable".




rce
 
 
Robert Ede, 
Founder and Past President,    
Mitigate the Effects of any Obvious Errors/Damage you come Across Poli-Sci Socie

Sunday, December 9, 2012

Steve Promises : Last Mistake we'll make (of this type)

Robert Ede <robertede@gmail.com>Sun, Dec 9, 2012 at 9:50 AM

  • December 7, 2012
    Ottawa, Ontario
    Prime Minister Stephen Harper delivered the following remarks on foreign investment: 
    "Hi everyone.
    "Today the Minister of Industry rendered decisions respecting two foreign investment proposals.
    "These decisions will be closely studied.
    "It is therefore important that Canadians, and also foreign investors, understand how the government will approach such decisions in the future.
    "In particular, Canadians generally, and investors specifically, should understand that these decisions are not the beginning of a trend, but rather the end of a trend.

    snip .....

    What a relief!!

    Stevie assures us that this boneheaded, all-political, bum-kissing decision, is the last one ...no sorry 2 ... that he will make. ...of this type ... in this area of concern ... for the foreseeable future ... unless things change (of course)

    He assures us that the state-owned enterprises, Sinopec and CNOOC will take very good care of China's 100% share of the under/not-yet developed Long Lake Oil Sand Project and their 16% combined shares of Syncrude  (we subsidized that thing for years didn't we? -- our payback? coming shortly? it's in the mail?)

    Mr Firewall hopes that this bargain-basement acquisition of Crown assets will ...
    China's Ministry of Land and Resources (MLR) concluded a nationwide oil and gas resources assessment in 2006, putting the country's recoverable oil sands reserves at 2.3 billion tonnes (14.5 billion barrels). That would double China's current proven oil reserves if all could be recovered commercially.
    A total of 1.6 billion barrels had been found in four natural bitumen accumulations in Junggar Basin in the northwestern region of Xinjiang as of the end of 2008, according to the U.S. Geological Survey

    Not mentioned in his late-Friday talk or text was the outcome of the pre-existing (and awaiting Chinese approval) by Scotiabank and/or Manulife deals .... but it was late and everyone wanted to go home via the pub/concubine's place.

    Maybe next week-Friday ... the tit-for-tats are not to appear as connected too tightly ... maybe some time in-between announcements will let the uproar from tree-hungers, nationalists and sensible-development of non-renewable(albeit plentiful) resources folks die down.


    Why did we give this guy a majority?  There's no stopping him ... unless the Gov-Gen reserves/ withholds Royal Assent or the Sovereign Disallows something he's done.



    All hail Caesar, All Hail Kaiser, All Hail Authoritarian, All Hail Arbitrary Partisan, All Hail Vengeful little man, All Hail Despot, All Hail Autocrat, All Hail Two-tongued warrior in Black Denali



    rce
     

     
     
    Take nothing but photographs, 
    Leave nothing but footprints, 
    Kill nothing but time, 
    Mitigate the effects of any obvious errors/damage you come across.

    Sunday, November 25, 2012

    Root of Our Governance Problem


    The Root of our "Omnibus" problem -nescience of the 1947 Letters Patent, the 1867 Reservation/Disallowance Powers et al

    Robert Ede <robertede@gmail.com>Sun, Nov 25, 2012 at 8:21 AM

    To: YCYC-VCVC <contact@ycyc-vcvc.ca>, ConstitutionalMonarchy Watch <dwatch@web.net>, "Your Canada, Your Constitution / Votre Canada. Votre Constitution" <info@ycyc-vcvc.ca>
    Cc: op-ed star <oped@thestar.ca>, "Letters (National Post)" <op-ed@nationalpost.com>, oped@thegazette.canwest.com, hill times <kmalloy@hilltimes.com>, The Tyee <editor@thetyee.ca>, Fred Ryan -West Quebec Post <abawqp@videotron.ca>, Jamie Gilcig <canvid@gmail.com>
     


    Dear Mr Duff Conacher,
    cc Various editors
    cc Canada

    Re: Your question "Should omnibus bills be banned so politicians are not forced to vote on various unrelated bills all at the same time?"


    All of your campaign's concerns (the audacity and arrogance of majority PM's) could be addressed by a public review of the Letters Patent 1947. 

    The BNA/Constitution lays out (and the Letters Patent confirms and expands) the powers (and superiority/independence) of the Executive Power (ss.9-16) vested in the Monarch and Governor General.

    The power to withhold Assent (+plus disallow and reserve it) plus the terms of ss.12-13 clearly establishes the role of "Benevolent Autocrat/ Arbitrator" in the Office of our Governor General.

    No law prevents the GovGen from exercising these powers (or s.90, the Lt Gov provincially + ss.58-68).

    The only reason Canadians do NOT enjoy the protection of a "Benevolent Autocrat/Arbitrator" on BOTH these levels of governance is the appointment process since Wm L M King's days - normal Canadian folks are elevated to vice-regal status and subsequently deign/dare not bite the hand that "brung" them (sorry to mix metaphors).

    If the GovGen (Lt Gen's) were elected at-large there would be no question about their mandate and their responsibilities - as a further check/balance on the activities of the Legislative power (esp a majority).

    Further, an public examination of the "legality" of the post-WW2 continuance of Order in Council PC 1940-1121 (the wartime merger of the non-political office of Clerk of the Privy Council with the all-political Office of Secretary to the Cabinet prompted by the urgency to co-ordinate the mobilization of all of Canada's resources to save Great Britain) ?could? lead to the rescission of that temporary, emergency Order and ?could? lead to the restoration of the complete 4-level hierarchy of check/balance powers outlined in the amazingly prescient BNA Act 1867.

    see link to PC 1940-1121


    Digression and mind-jolter - Have you ever wondered why Canada never calls on the best-educated, most-experienced, longest-serving, fully life-tested, most well-connected individual in the World for advice?

    To me, this oversight/neglect is particularly odd, when your consider that Her Majesty the Queen is already established as the 4th (and ultimate) check/balance in Canada's hierarchical power-sharing arrangement referenced above?


    In my view, until we return to the 'as-written' provisions of our foundation law, we have no valid constitution, no consistent body of laws, no responsible parliament and no hope of legislative justice, honour, truth or accountability.

    I submit that to continue to ignore this hidden-right-under-our-noses truth only proves we collectively have no knowledge of the facts AND/OR no innate will to govern ourselves, no inherent awareness of the need to be eternally vigilant and no idea that this superbly located, magnificently abundant (built of yellow and black gold) country can collectively belong to us ... if we make the effort to cast off our "benign neglect".

    Until we restore Canada's original and still perfectly-suited hierarchical power-sharing framework, seizing it back from the "machinery of government" that has usurped all the legislative and executive power and placed the resident/taxpayer/citizens in the role of tenant-farmer/ indentured servant/ feudal serf/ cannon fodder blindly following edicts from on high ... we will prosper no further as individuals, as families, as a people, as a nation-of-nations united as one country, as a middle-power fighting above-its-weight-class ... we will only dwindle. 

    "... Not with a bang, but a whimper." (T.S Eliot)


    Rce 

    "There is no shame in turning back, when you discover you're on the wrong path" 



     
    Robert Ede,
    Spokesman,
    The Majority of Canadians P.A.C.,
     
     

    "All truth passes through three stages: First, it is ridiculed. Second, it is violently opposed. Third, it is accepted as being self-evident." -Arthur Schopenhauer (1788–1860)

    Saturday, November 10, 2012

    China has its OWN OIl Sands -- Junggar (Dzungarian) Basin in the northwestern region of Xinjiang

    BUT, not the technology to extract it efficiently

    What better way to spend their US$ holdings (before it gets devalued even further)




    Excerpt from

    Nexen deal sheds light on China's oilsands strategy - Reuters


    A total of 1.6 billion barrels had been found in four natural bitumen accumulations in Junggar (Dzungarian) Basin in the northwestern region of Xinjiang as of the end of 2008, according to the U.S. Geological Survey.

    It also says China has 8.9 billion barrels of extra-heavy oil resource and substantial amounts of shale oil.

    China will speed up development of its abundant shale oil resources and is considering launching some pilot projects, Liu Tienan, head of China's National Energy Administration, told state media earlier this month.

    Liu added that China has recoverable shale oil resources of 10 billion tonnes.

    Beijing has not set any domestic output goal for oil sands, heavy oil or shale oil in any of its five-year economic development plans even though it has set targets for shale gas and other cleaner unconventional resources in its 12th five-year plan for 2011-2015.

    "Because of technology and cost constraints, China cannot develop all kinds of unconventional resources at home in one go," said an energy researcher with China's powerful economic planner, the National Development and Reform Commission. He requested anonymity as he was not authorised to speak to foreign media.

    Despite the lack of a national target, an MLR research arm expects China to produce 500,000 tonnes of oil sands in 2015 (8,630 bpd), one million tonnes a year in 2020, and five million tonnes in 2030.

    State oil firms now lack the incentives to make a headlong rush into domestic oil sands when more abundant and commercially viable bitumen reserves are available in Canada, analysts say.

    The only oil sands project in China that has made some progress is PetroChina's Karamay project in the Junggar Basin. It is expected to produce oil in October and have an annual capacity of 100,000-200,000 tonnes by the end of 2012 and one million tonnes by the end of next year, Chinese media say.

    Karamay started oil sands development on a trial basis around 2008, but it was suspended later as PetroChina balked at the high cost and lack of economies of scale, a MLR source said.

    "Now our country is paying attention to unconventional resources, so PetroChina resumed its oil sands experiment in Karamay. It needs to find the right technology for the project," he told Reuters.


    Junggar (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Dzungaria) Basin in the northwestern region of Xinjiang

    Canadian Journal of Earth Sciences




    Wednesday, October 24, 2012

    "Prorogation Disease" in Hung Parliaments

    Her Majesty The Queen  of Canada
    Buckingham Palace
    London SW1A 1AA 
    cc Your Excellency, Mr Johnston


    Your Majesty,

    Thank you for your reply to Chantal Dupuis and Your agreement therein to intercede with the Governor General of Canada.

    She has not made too much progress in penetrating the administrative 'moat' surrounding Your Vice Regal, and therefore been frustrated in communicating with him the concerns You seemed to agree with in her earliest message to you regarding the Omnibus Bill (now referred to as Omnibus 1)

    I write in accord with Chantal to inform you of the now-provincial proliferation of the "Prorogation Disease" that is being facilitated by Your Executive officers. This neglect of written, Constitution/BNA Act powers must be attributable to either an unforgivable nescience of their full mandates, or, (forgivable as human beings) a reluctance to challenge/correct imperfect or all-political recommendations from the Legislative Office holders for fear of negative public reaction to an "appointee" over-ruling an "elected person" - I thought Canada clarified this point (for minority-status First Ministers at the very least) with the King-Byng affair.

    Just this week the Premier of Ontario, Mr McGuinty resigned his position as Liberal Party of Ontario leader. The terms of his resignation included his agreement to stay on as Your First Minister of Ontario until a successor can be chosen as new Liberal Leader AND astoundingly, the prorogation of the Ontario Legislature, Mr McGuinty leads-in-minority, without a date for reconvening that Assembly.

    Regardless of the personal and professional/political details of Mr McGuinty's decision, the timing is terrible - many fiscal, financial, social, moral, governance, accountability and labour issues need immediate attention, plus the announcement came without warning or notice!

    I fear Your Lt Governor, Mr Onley, followed in lockstep, the decision(s) of Your Former Governor General, Ms Jean, to assent without much independent Advice, their respective First Minister's request(s) for prorogation and/or dissolution of the Legislative Assembly/House of Commons.

    In all these cases the First Ministers were in a "hot spot" politically:
    - in late summer of 2008 Mr Harper 'quit' his minority House early (after enacting a fixed term limit amendment to the Canada Elections Act just a year earlier);
    - in December 2008, Mr Harper, returned in Minority asked for a prorogation to avoid dismissal as Your First Minister that might have resulted from a never-called, loss-of-confidence motion proposed by the combined-in-coalition Opposition parties;
    -in late December of 2009, Mr Harper, still in minority, requested a second (we jokingly started thinking these might become Annual events) prorogation to sidestep awkward questions in committee what might have coincided with the Winter Olympics;
    - just now Mr McGuinty's minority (after several years with a majority) administration is facing a constitutional challenge to his legislation regarding the provinces teachers (why he didn't just use the Notwithstanding clause is beyond me), is being probed by House committees that the government no longer numerically controls, is running a huge budget deficit and is being scrutinized by bond-rating firms ...plus the regular thousands of things that every day life brings for consideration by the Assembly and to the Chief Legislative Officer.

    Your Majesty, please can you warn, encourage and advise these Executive Officers to "Just Do" their jobs! 

    We Canadians were blessed with a hierarchical system of checks and balances to prevent abuses of power by the Executive and by the Legislative powers. But bit-by-bit, we've wandered off course, the Legislative has usurped the power intended to be shared/held by the Executive.

    Your Majesty, please admonish these Loyal Servants of the Crown and instruct them to follow the as-written text of the foundational laws of this country!



    rce

    "All truth passes through three stages. First, it is ridiculed. Second, it is violently opposed. Third, it is accepted as being self-evident." -Arthur Schopenhauer (1788–1860)

    Tuesday, September 18, 2012

    Back-burner Elected Senate ---- Elect the Governor General!


    Robert Ede Tue, Sep 18, 2012 at 7:42 AM
    To: hill times
    Cc: Bea Vongdouangchanh 
     
    Robert Ede Tue, Sep 18, 2012 at 7:59 AM
    To: torstar
    Cc: chantal hebert
     
     
     
    Dear Editor,


    Notwithstanding the virtues and flaws in this version of Senate-Reform 'Lite', and, notwithstanding the unfounded fear of many Canadians that a Constitutional Discussion = a Quebec-Secession Discussion, I believe the informed citizen would agree that we must first re-store the integrity of our as-written, 1867 BNA/Constitution's 4-tiered, checks-and-balances system before we dare initiate re-forms to any of the "internal moving parts"

    If it is universally agreed that an ELECTED Official is preferable to an APPOINTED one .... then let's hold elections to select the recommendation to the Queen of our next Governor General. If we can restore the mandate of the only Office empowered to "just say no" to a majority PM, by simply electing that Official .... then let's get it done! 

    My suggestion is an at-large vote, every-other General Election, using a single-transferable ballot to choose a person who will hold a single term as GG, starting 365 days after the return of the Writs in the General Election. The swearing-in should include a Public Reading of the Letters Patent constituting the Office of Governor General and Commander-in-Chief - 1947 and BNA-1867's Sections 12-13, 53-57 + s.90

    Monday, September 17, 2012

    Polls are not about telling the future, but about influencing it!

    To: news@hilltimes.com, hill times <kmalloy@hilltimes.com>
    Dear Ed,

    Eric Grenier summarizes his Did Quebec’s election polls lie?; HillTimes Sept 17/12 with

    Polls do need to be treated with more caution and with increased recognition of their limitations.  
    ...
    the results of the elections in Alberta and Quebec should provide an impetus for a greater understanding of what polls can tell us, what they cannot, and what that means in the context of an ever-changing election campaign. 


    During Elections, polls commissioned for publication (ie not all polls) by Parties/Campaigns are intend to influence voters.

    The idea is to show a wavering supporter that the "enemy" is gaining support and encourage the on-the-fence voter to vote against that apparent trend.

    The best example was the May 2/11 General Election when polls were published showing huge national-wide gains by the NDP - the numbers were true ... except in these so-called "national polls" Quebec-based support is adjusted to show it as part of the national picture (regional is goosed up).

    The late Mr Layton's ebullient public rallies after the Orange Surge poll - boldly speaking about becoming Prime Minister Layton - actually cooked his own goose.

    The middle class in the Rest of Canada, who distrusted the NDP more than they worried about the Ref/Cons in majority and  who had planned to contain the HarperTeam to minority again (they were right -look at the arrogance subsequently), decided the "enemy of my enemy is my friend" and flipped to Blue in the final days.

    Without talk radio & the right-of-centre press spreading the implications of the "apparent Orange Surge" presented in that (misunderstandable) poll 7-10days before election day ... Mr Harper would not be in the position of "Unstoppable and Unchecked Autocrat" aka King-for-Four-Years




    rce

    Thursday, September 13, 2012

    Carol Goar (TorStar) Notices the $4,000 Senate Qualification s/be more like $200K

    re: Fusty Senate & inflation-adjusting Upper House's Qualification/Disqualification standards


    Robert Ede <robertede@gmail.com>Thu, Sep 13, 2012 at 6:54 PM
    To: cgoar@thestar.ca, torstar <lettertoed@thestar.ca>
     
    Dear Ms Goar & Editors

    Re Fusty Senate yields to change / is starting to look more like Canada

    I congratulate you on being the only political writer in Canada who sees the significance of adjusting the 1867 Standards for Senators to today's purchasing-power parity. I believe is the only Canadian government dollar-amount that has been ignored in this way.

    Further you are the only writer who has noticed the irony in the appointment of the late M. A. "Peggy" Butts:

    At the age of 73, Peggy was appointed to the Canadian Senate. However, qualification laws for senators caused problems with her appointment. All Canadian senators are required to possess land worth at least $4,000 in the province for which he or she is appointed, as well as own real and personal property worth at least $4,000, above his or her debts and liabilities. Having taken a vow of poverty upon becoming a nun, Butts was able to officially be sworn in only after her order formally transferred a small parcel of land to her name

    These facts are particularly interesting as a reflection on the lack of awareness of these qualifications/disqualifications exhibited by the Person nominating this devoted, extremely well-educated and widely-honoured Sister (ie expressly NOT an unkind reflection on the late Ms Butts personally) when you consider the Special Oath (in the Fifth Schedule of 1867) that Senators are exclusively required to swear, because their Office is the ONLY Canadian post with Net-Worth and Net Property-Equity a) Qualifications s.23 and b) Disqualifications s.31.

    I  __ do declare and testify, That I am by Law duly qualified to be appointed a Member of the Senate of Canada, and that I am legally or equitably seised as of Freehold for my own Use and Benefit of Lands or Tenements held in Free and Common Socage in the Province of Nova Scotia of the Value of Four thousand Dollars over and above all Rents, Dues, Debts, Mortgages, Charges, and Incumbrances due or payable out of or charged on or affecting the same, and that I have not collusively or colourably obtained a Title to or become possessed of the said Lands and Tenements or any Part thereof for the Purpose of enabling me to become a Member of the Senate of Canada, and that my Real and Personal Property are together worth Four thousand Dollars over and above my Debts and Liabilities.

    Ms Goar, perhaps you might follow up with an article on how Ms Butts' employer and the Prime Minister of the day were allowed to "colourably collude" to deftly side-step the 1867-level dollar/property qualifications? Was it an error on all parties, a cover-up by one or the other or did simply no one (within the Senate/ the Courts/ Poli-Econ or Poli-Sci Academia) care enough to rock the boat on this very small breach of the "as-written" foundational laws of the land?

    I favour the idea of adjusting the $4,000 in s.23 & s.31and the Oath to reflect today's purchasing power, in hopes of prompting Canadians to examine the "rationale/purpose" behind the framers' decision to "wealth-quantify" the type of person they deemed suitable to represent Canadian 'patricians' (equally-from-all-divisions) in our Senate ie our "similar in Principle" House of Lords.

    rce

     
    Robert Ede,     
    Spokesperson,

    "All truth passes through three stages. First, it is ridiculed. Second, it is violently opposed. Third, it is accepted as being self-evident." -Arthur Schopenhauer (1788–1860)

    Wednesday, September 12, 2012

    Citizenship in the Vineyard-called-Canada

    Robert Ede <robertede@gmail.com>Wed, Sep 12, 2012 at 12:49 PM
    To: The Tyee <editor@thetyee.ca>, The Tyee <pitch@thetyee.ca>, KaiNagata@kainagata.com
     
    Dear Kai & Tyee Editors,

    Thank you for Five Questions for Kenney's Vote-Stripping Brigades - I found it on an auto-search of google for "majority-of-Canadians"


    First, I agree that the behind-the-scenes story is likely rooted in gerrymandering for fun-and-profit within the RefCon party + zenophobia within the Ref/Con original constituency

    And I also agree that rooting out fraudulently-obtained citizenships and citizenships-of-convenience is a worthy effort.

    To that end, my suggestion is to simply eliminate dual-citizenships - you're either in or out? you're in this "club" and committed to it .... or you're not!  

    Please everyone just take a pick and we'll all know where you stand re: the great north strong and free. We'll know what we can expect from you and know what and how-much to share with you ... as an individual.

    I don't care WHERE you came from, I only care whether you're on the "team" now that you're HERE.

    As a vital part of this change in policy, I suggest a phasing out of the existing duals (ie NO grandfather/mothering of existing ones) over a 5yr or ten yr timetable.

    For perspective and insight, please consider Canada in an analogy -- a private Golf/Tennis/Social "Equity" Club (owned by members in common as shareholders), if you want to join the club you pay the price of admission, the annual dues and abide by the rules. If you're invited as a guest, by a member a) you are obliged to follow the club rules and b) the guest is responsible for you actually being observant of the existing club rules/regs.

    Contrast this to a Canada as "a public municipal Golf/Tennis/Social club" - the difference in quality, cost, decorum, responsibility etc
    Finally consider a comparison of  Canada to a "tragedy of the commons" playing field (land asset) that is used-to-the-max by everyone, tended by no one and administered by a far-off techno/bureau-crat who only monitors the number of users (quantity) and has a job-description that make no mention of quality-of-use, cost-of-use, cost-of-repair/replacements, degeneration-of-asset-by-type-of-use, sustainability of the asset and no concern for the current "highest & best use" of that asset.

    Citizenship in this country built of gold, liquid gold and pure water is a treasure. 

    Why are we letting the far-off techno/bureau-crats spoil it? 


    Assume for a second that you & me and every citizen OWNED the country collectively;

    Also assume that our Monarch was the titular head of the collective entity that OWNED the country;

    Further assume that the government and its employees all swore allegiance and pledged loyalty and took a solemn oath to "do what was best" for the owners (embodied in the Officeholder of the Title Queen/King) of the country;

    And then the Stewards of the Owners Assets and Treasury DID NOT DO what they swore/pledged and solemnly promised to do.

    And then what? a protest? a call to accounting? a petition to snatch back control of the management of the asset by the owners? a  confrontation with the stewards of the Owner's assets?

    But the Husband(wo)men of the Vineyard-called-Canada just intimidated the messengers, used stalling tactics and set up procedural barriers to delay any/all meetings etc anything ... to prevent the possibility of being held to account. 

    The Owners sent more representatives to challenge these Bad Stewards, but these messengers too were beaten, killed, stoned, bought-off, given jobs in the Senate or Privy Council Office etc etc .... 

    So the collective-of-Canada sent the titular heir to speak on their behalf ... and the Husband(wo)men said "This is the heir, let us kill him and seize on his/her inheritance"  (see Matthew 21:40-41 for the "normal answer)

    But in this case as deferential-to-a-fault Canadians, the owners individually quietly walked away and said to themselves "I guess there's nothing I can do about it"?



    There is no shame in turning back when you discover you're on the wrong path -rce, 2006

     
    Robert Ede,     

    "All truth passes through three stages. First, it is ridiculed. Second, it is violently opposed. Third, it is accepted as being self-evident." -Arthur Schopenhauer (1788–1860)

    Tuesday, September 11, 2012

    What if "... Canada DID elect its Chief Executive"?

    To: globe &mail letters <letters@globeandmail.ca>, eric@threehundredeight.com
    Dear Editors and Mr Grenier

    Thank you both for Sept 10/12 :How history would be different if Canada used the U.S. electoral system

    My attention was drawn to the off-handed "what if" posed within Mr Grenier's introduction to his meticulous application-to-Canada of the All-or-none Electoral College system chosen by the framers of the Second USA Constitution to determine their system's Chief Executive (NB originally, the second-place finisher became the Vice President)

    What if we DID elect our Chief Executive? 

    The first thing to consider is that the Prime Minister is NOT the Chief Executive, this position, in the power-sharing hierarchy of the BNA/Constitution 1867, is held by the Governor General. 
    The Prime Minister is, by Westminster tradition/convention, the person chosen by the Governor General to attempted to form a Cabinet/Government based on the GG's judgment of "who best" commands the Confidence of the Lower House of Assembly, the aptly-named House of Common(er)s

    If we held an election (say, every-other General Election, for a Single term starting 365 days after the return of the Writs) to decide who should be the "recommendation to the Monarch" we would accomplish several objectives: 

    1) re-establish the Part III Executive Power "check" on the Part IV Legislative Power; 

    2) make the Prime Minister's Job much easier (S/he could look after the day-to-day stuff (and of course, staying-elected) knowing the perpetual and institutional well-being of the Citizenry was protected by a BNA-entrenched superior order of governance;
    3) perhaps, in this more-relaxed PM-era, the MP's could be re-emancipated from their Party-Disciple straight-jackets and the Commons could be restored as an 'honourable Assembly' of 308 of constituency-representatives debating the (conscience-tempered) views of all Canadians;

    4) restore the purpose of the s.54 Throne Speech and re-validate the use of the GG's ss.55-57(Fed-Prov.90) powers of Reservation, Disallowance and Withholding of Royal Assent;

    5) identify the need to re-sever control of the Privy Council from the Prime Minister's Office (merged-for-efficiency in a WWII temporary, emergency Order in Council PC 1940-1121, March 25, 1940)

    In short, re-establish the BNA/Constitution "As-written " - because if we do not restore the de facto to its de jure state.... what rules ARE we following? Who is in a position to change these "unwritten" rules and who is in a position to stop any proposed change?

    Would you play a "bloodsport" where the Home Team is permitted to change the rules in the middle of the game?

    You may not have considered the possibility before and need to do some research before accepting whether there actually IS a problem, whether it NEEDS solving and therefore whether this solution is worth considering.

    Two assertions: "right-under-our-nose is one of the hardest place to examine" and "there is no shame in turning back when you discover you are on the wrong path -rce 2006"


    rce
    I'll send you the attachments by email

    Two Attachments
    Order in Council PC 1940-1121
    One Page 1688-present Evolution of our "Similar in Principle" Constitution

    Backgrounder